Every year, I try and predict the college football season. Every year, I fail miserably.
Sure, I correctly predicted Alabama to win the title in 2012, and RGIII to win the Heisman in 2011. But that’s about it as far as accuracy goes.
Last year I predicted Alabama to beat Oregon in the BCS championship. At least that was closer than my prediction of Wisconsin to play for the title in 2012.
The new college football playoff adds a new wrinkle to this year’s predictions, and likely makes them a little harder. In other words, go ahead and call your bookie and bet the exact opposite of what I am about to say.
So here they are – my 2014 horrible college football predictions.
SEC: LSU over Georgia
A home win over Bama puts a one-loss LSU in the SEC title game. The Tigers take out Georgia and clinch a spot in the playoff.
Big Ten: Michigan over Wisconsin
Big Blue claims the B1G title despite a late loss to Ohio State. Two losses, plus a crappy conference, keep Michigan out of the playoff.
Big 12: Oklahoma
The Sooners are bound to lose one game they aren’t supposed to. However, even a one-loss Oklahoma will have a strong enough resume for a playoff berth.
PAC 12: Washington over Stanford
I’m going out on a limb here, but I think the Huskies can get a surprise win on the road in Oregon and then win the PAC-12 title. However, a loss on the road to Arizona keeps Washington out of the playoff.
ACC: Florida State over Miami
Miami wins the Coastal division almost by default, then gets blasted by the Seminoles.
Heisman: Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State
His numbers will not be as good as Oregon quarterback Marcus Mariota, but there is no way the reigning Heisman winner won’t repeat if he leads FSU to an undefeated regular season.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF
Florida State (1), LSU (2), Oklahoma (3), Alabama (4)
Despite not winning its conference, one-loss Alabama claims the final playoff berth over Washington and Michigan. The other three are easy choices for the playoff.
Semifinal: Alabama over Florida State
Jameis Winston hasn’t played a defense like Alabama will unleash on him. Two costly second-half turnovers by Winston, plus a strong game from former Nole Jacob Coker, will be all the Tide needs to claim a semifinal win.
Semifinal: Oklahoma over LSU
In a back-and-forth contest, Oklahoma makes a defensive stand in the final minute to clinch a spot in the national championship game.
National Championship: Alabama over Oklahoma
The Crimson Tide get some revenge from last year’s embarrassing Sugar Bowl, containing the Sooners’ offense in the second half and claiming a 13-point win for their third title in four years.
And yes, I’m a homer.
Roll Damn Tide!